The report on Jersey's future housing needs provides estimates of Jersey's potential housing requirements for the three-year period 2023 to 2025. It gives a detailed picture of supply and demand based on household's intentions in mid-2022.
The information was collected through a set of questions included in the 2022 round of the Jersey Opinons and Lifestyle Survey.
Based on the intentions of households (before applying affordability criteria) over the three-year period 2023 to 2025:
- before the supply of new dwellings, there is an overall anticipated shortfall of 610 dwelling units
- there is a potential shortfall of around 910 units in the owner-occupier sector; in particular, there is a large potential shortfall of 2-bedroom properties in this sector
- under the baseline scenario of +700 net migration, there is a potential shortfall of around 220 units of registered accommodation; in particular, there is a potential shortfall of 1-bedroom properties in this sector
Three year housing surplus and shortfalls by tenure and size of dwelling 2023 to 2025
Source: Statistics Jersey,
download the chart data
In respect of net migration
- the potential surpluses and shortfalls in the qualified tenures of accommodation are impacted less by the level of net inward migration during the next three years, than registered accommodation
- a level of net inward migration of around +500 people per year results in a balanced supply and demand of registered accommodation over the next three years
- a level of net inward migration of around +1,000 people per year results in a potential shortfall of almost 550 registered accommodation units over the next three years
- there was an increase in the proportion of the respondents intending to move outside Jersey compared to the previous survey (from 13% in 2018, to 34% in 2022)